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The Retail Brew newsletter posted their "roundup of the highest profile holiday forecasts." Their summation? "Experts predict cautious consumers will slow their roll in 2025." *
They cited forecasts from Adobe Analytics, the Mastercard Economics Institute (MEI), Bain & Company, PricewaterhouseCoopers, and Deloitte. They explain how each of these sources gathers their data, what each source concludes - their Data Points – and their Insights.
Retail Brew's conclusion: "A rough consensus is forming among experts that the 2025 holiday season could be a letdown compared to last year."
As you are the in-house expert on your business, that's undoubtedly not news to you. But it may confirm and quantify that dark cloud hovering on the horizon.
Take advantage of the lead time you have – that is, this last week in October - and identify "What are my options for November and December?"
Overcome the uncertainty of this holiday season, and, applying your good judgment, begin 2026 from a greater position of strength. Whether you choose The ROI’s PROFITS Forecaster or 3-in-1 Calculator, become a Member of The ROI and you can look ahead not just to November and December, but to the next 12 months. Empowering!
No need to guess! In real time, on the spot, you can see and compare the impacts on profits and cash flow of your "What if's...?" Just tweak the inputs, then see the outcomes. Immediately!
Hmm. Don't like how that would turn out? Try some “What if…?” changes. All on your own. Remember your goal: "What are my options?"
Some may not work at all.
Others may be workable, but not make much difference financially.
And some that have previously been dismissed out of hand may actually "pencil out."
Now, armed with those insights, apply your good judgment!
As a Member of The ROI, you can chart the path forward through the holiday season and into 2026 with confidence – and peace of mind.
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*"Experts predict cautious consumers will slow their roll in 2025." Alex Vocolo, Retail Brew, October 17, 2025.
As the Holiday Season approaches, finding good help promises to be especially challenging for retailers this year. Then, we read "10 Things to Know to Get And Keep Retail Jobs," a to-the-point commentary from Bob Phibbs*, who specializes in retail sales training. Here are his Top Ten recommendations for prospective retail employees:
Let's assume your stores have been closed for weeks now.
We recognize how conscientious you are. So, after paying what you can to your employees (and yourself), the next most-worrisome dilemma is your rent.
As you likely have discovered, a common choice for many landlords is to offer to defer your payments. But that means taking on more debt, as those payments are only being postponed to a later point in time. You need a better solution than that.
"Retailers are sitting on a pile of goods. Now the question is, will the U.S. holiday shopper bite?" reported Jennifer Williams in the Wall Street Journal.
Similarly, Michael Brandt of Inovium expects "weakening growth in discretionary retail (electronics, fashion, home furnishings.)"
As your stores are able to re-open after the coronavirus shutdowns, how they look tells a powerful story. And for you, a great opportunity. This is no time to try to go back to normal, back to business-as-usual. Nor to simply have all kinds of protective shields in your store. While necessary, how welcoming is that? Instead, this actually IS a second chance to make a good first impression! Take full advantage!
There's a very important annual job for you, the owner, and all of your senior staff. It's vital, and it involves your presence. The pressures are mounting on your stores, and in particular, your front line staff.
This is, after all, The Retail OWNERS Institute. We long have specialized in alerting, coaxing, and applauding retail owners worldwide. Today's message is a major heads-up. Keeping pace with the relentless changes in retailing has never been easy. Retailers know that constant adjustments are demanded. Then, the three pandemics of 2020 happened: COVID; the economic meltdown; the social unrest. And life changed modestly or enormously for almost everyone, including owners of retail businesses.
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